Short signal on Energy - XLE

Energy sector has been one of the weakest sectors over the last 6 month - down almost 10%. Recently the Energy SPDR - XLE - rebounded strongly, but I believe the rebound may have run its course and XLE is about to roll over and continue its bigger move - down.
Several factors point to a possible inflection point.

1. XLE is in a bigger downtrend
2. XLE is now at resistance from a gap-down from November of last year
3. So far we had two shooting star like candlesticks indicating rejection of higher prices
4. There is a bearish divergence between price plot of XLE and its underlying AD Line. 
5. XLE is likely to experience a bearish "breadth thrust" soon (see chart below)
6. Our trading system generated a short signal on XLE. 

Coupled with fact that oil is very overbought, to me this seems like a decent place for a short.
XLE charts are here and here